Ball State vs Central Michigan 10/2/2010

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Central Michigan is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over Ball State. Ryan Radcliff is averaging 285 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Paris Cotton is projected for 77 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where Ball State wins, Kelly Page averages 0.82 TD passes vs 0.44 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.43 TDs to 0.62 interceptions. MiQuale Lewis averages 55 rushing yards and 0.63 rushing TDs when Ball State wins and 45 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. Central Michigan has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 94% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CMICH -17 --- Over/Under line is 48

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